🚨 South Australia Electricity Prices to Rise Up to 16.4% from July 1, 2025 – Why Home Batteries Are Now a Strategic Investment

  • The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) has confirmed significant electricity price increases under the 2025-26 Default Market Offer (DMO), impacting standing offer customers in NSW, SA, and SE Queensland. As a South Australian energy consumer, your bills will see structural shifts that fundamentally alter the ROI calculus for solar + storage systems.

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Why This Matters:

  • Peak/Off-Peak Spread Widens: The gap between peak (58.30¢/kWh) and shoulder (26.79¢/kWh) rates now reaches 31.51¢/kWh – the highest arbitrage opportunity in 5 years.

  • Solar Economics Eroded: With FiT halving for exports beyond 10kWh, solar-only homes lose 50% of excess energy value.

  • Network Cost Surge: Rising "supply charges" (up 9.4%) now constitute 25-35% of average bills, independent of usage.

🔋 Why Batteries Make More Sense Than Ever
With the rollout of the Cheaper Battery Program under the Federal Budget 2025, home batteries have become not only an environmental asset, but also a powerful financial tool.

Strategic Benefits:

  • Peak Shaving: Charge during shoulder/off-peak (26.79–37.90¢), discharge during peak (58.30¢) to save ~45–55% per kWh.
  • Solar Self-Consumption: Store excess solar generation instead of exporting at 2¢/kWh.
  • Demand Avoidance: Discharge between 4pm–9pm to avoid peak network and wholesale charges.

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🛠️ What Households Should Do Now

  1. Audit Your Usage
  • Review your latest energy bill
  • Use the AER DMO Calculator to model new rates
  1. Revalue Your Solar System
  • Systems over 6kW may lose significant export value
  • Shift excess generation to battery storage for 3–4x more value
  1. Choose the Right Battery
  • Refer to the Clean Energy Council’s accredited installer list
  • Confirm eligibility under the SA Home Battery Scheme
    ⚠️ Apply before 15 June to avoid EOFY subsidy backlog
  1. Adjust Usage Behaviour
  • Run high-load appliances (EV charging, pool pumps) during shoulder periods
  • Configure battery discharge to cover the 4–8pm peak window

📈 Bigger Picture: Batteries as Financial Tools
With wholesale energy market volatility rising and AEMO forecasting 37% higher grid congestion costs by 2027, home batteries are evolving from sustainability upgrades into personal energy hedging assets.

Benefits:

  • Lock in lower peak costs
  • Ride TOU arbitrage
  • Prepare for VPP participation

“The DMO isn’t necessarily the cheapest option, but it sets the benchmark. Smart consumers use it to renegotiate or invest in long-term energy control.” — AER Consumer Guide 2025

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